Progressive Conservatives

So does this mean conservatism in Ontario is dead?

Short answer is no. But a certain type of conservatism certainly died with this election — namely fiscal conservatism. Unless Premier Wynne decides to back track on her campaign commitments, the idea that the state should live within its means and should balance its budget is now certainly out of fashion in Ontario, and the consequences will be felt almost immediately and will reverberate for years to come.

Andrew Coyne published a terrific piece in the National Post on the Friday after the election in which he concluded precisely that fiscal conservatism had lost. And he challenged the Premier to implement her ruinous budget.

But over the longer term, conservatism — including fiscal conservatism — will return to favour.



What now?

So the Liberals have won a majority and Kathleen Wynne has pledged to reintroduce and pass the budget she introduced in April. What does this mean for Ontarians: a new pension plan and a tax to pay for it; borrowed money for transit, roads, tuition and for hiring more civil servants which means more deficit and debt.

Here’s a good analysis of why austerity may be in Ontario’s future:

But I’m not convinced Wynne will do what is necessary. In fact, I don’t think she believes Ontario is in any trouble whatsoever. The state is all: government can continue to grow and to spend without limits. The state owns everything, including your money and your rights, and grants them back to you as it sees fit.



Ontario votes

Here’s my prediction for tonight’s vote:

PCs will win a strong minority or a weak majority (50 to 57 seats).

I just can’t fathom the Liberals gaining any new seats. They will experience only loses. Potential Liberal losers include: Dickson, Dhillon, Cansfield, Qaadri, Crack, Gerretsen, Milloy, Chan, Mangat, Takhar, Jaczek, Flynn, Fraser, Chiarelli, MacCharles, Leal, Moridi, Wong, and Del Duca. Personally I would like to see Matthews and Pirruza gone as well. And Murray may be vulnerable from the NDP.

NDP will make modest gains.

Ideally we see the Liberals relegated to third-party status.

The first thing a Tory government should do is introduce legislation to restrict spending by third-parties.